EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar struggles despite falling oil prices

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EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar struggles despite falling oil prices

A surging dollar is heading toward its sharpest monthly gain in almost a year on Thursday, sending the Aussie lower to a more than 2-month low, as traders bet on a strong US economy propping up short-term interest rates.

EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar struggles despite falling oil prices

US military escorts of commercial ships have ended Iran's ability to close the Strait of Hormuz in the future, Energy Secretary Chris Wright said. But It is unclear how Hormuz will be governed after the 60-day period.

Australian employment rebounded in May while the jobless rate eased from multi-year highs, data showed, a sign of resilience that could support a further lift in interest rates if needed.

The bounces in jobs and household spending ⁠were largely expected but there are signs of weakness as the job vacancies dropped in the three months to May to its lowest level in months.

Australia's resources sector faces escalating labour tensions, with key iron ore operations and shipping hubs at high risk of industrial action, though those workers are already among the world's best paid.

Major mining corporations caution that surging operational costs and excessive bureaucracy are damaging the nation's appeal. Iron ore prices traded near 4-month low on rising supply and tepid demand.

EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar struggles despite falling oil prices

EBC Financial group analyst says, the Australian dollar entered a heavily oversold territory, but there are no signs of an immediate trend reversal. A clean daily close below 0.68920 could lead to another leg lower.


Asset recap

As of market close on 24 June, among EBC major products, Owens Corning shares led gains. The 10-year Treasury yield fell to its lowest level since mid-May, signalling potential mortgage rate relief.

EBC Markets Briefing | Aussie dollar struggles despite falling oil prices

Evercore ISI maintains an "Outperform" rating on Oracle, with a recent price target of $245. Analysts at the firm emphasised the massive scale of cloud infrastructure an AI backlog.

Gold prices fell below $4,000 for the first time since November 2025, extending losses as expectations of tighter US monetary policy and easing geopolitical risks.


EBC Financial Group Disclaimer: This material is for general information purposes only and is not intended as (and should not be considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by EBC Global Financial Collaboration or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

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