GOLD PRICE FORECAST: XAU/USD EYES FURTHER UPSIDE PAST $1,950 WITH INVERSE H&S IN OFFING, SOFTER US DOLLAR

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Gold Price picks up bids to refresh intraday high, prints three-day uptrend despite mild weekly gains.

Bullish chart formation, downbeat US Dollar allow XAU/USD bulls to keep the reins during sluggish session.

US Dollar moves, risk catalysts and mid-tier China data eyed for immediate directions.

Gold Price (XAU/USD) prints a three-day winning streak near $1,965 as the US Dollar remains depressed during early Wednesday. In doing so, the precious metal also cheers hopes of China’s more stimulus and the cautious optimism in the markets amid an absence of Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers’ speeches due to the pre-FOMC blackout, as well as due to a light calendar.


That said, the US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses the previous day’s corrective bounce while taking offers around 104.00, down 0.10% on a day by the press time. In doing so, the greenback’s gauge versus six major currencies suffers from downbeat market bets on the Fed’s next move.


“Fed funds futures traders see the Fed as likely to then resume rate increases, with a 65% chance of an at least 25 basis-point increase in July, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool," said Reuters late on Tuesday. It’s worth mentioning that the interest rate futures show a nearly 15% probability of a June rate hike. The reason could be linked to downbeat United States activity data released on Monday, as well as the previously dovish comments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) Officials ahead of the pre-Fed blackout.


Elsewhere, recently firmer China PMIs and measures to ease credit conditions at home allow the Gold Price to grind higher, as Beijing is one of the world’s biggest Gold consumers.


It should be noted, however, that a light calendar and no major noises in the markets restrict the Gold Price moves. While portraying the mood, the 10-year coupons remain sluggish at around 3.69% whereas the two-year counterparts rose a bit to 4.50%. On the same line, the technology stocks remained firmer but the manufacturing ones weighed on the sentiment and pared Wall Street’s gains. Additionally, the S&P500 Futures print mild gains by the press time and allow the XAU/USD to remain firmer.


Looking ahead, China’s monthly trade numbers will join the risk catalysts and momentum in the bond market to direct the Gold Price

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